User:Nadzik/BoT elections 2024 stats

Given me being a successful candidate in these elections, I have refrained from commenting and instead I am just providing data and its visualisation from the publicly available dump that will hopefully answer the questions that some Wikimedians have raised in various venues after the results were announced last week. Please, add to it and create your own understanding of the process.

More information on the voting system used is available in this WMF guide.

Sankey diagram

The most basic way to visualise the results of the vote in the Single transferable vote system.

Example interpretation: In Round 6, Bobby was eliminated and his votes were distributed among the remaining candidates (with some votes being discarded, if the voters didn't rank anyone below Bobby). In Round 7 Christel has been elected and the surplus of her votes is distributed among the remaining candidates.

Please note that the above Sankey diagram does not show the last 2 rounds after Lane has been eliminated (they only transferred the surplus votes from the already winner: Christel, Maciej and Victoria, to the remaining candidates: Lorenzo and Farah). Full results in the table form are available on the official results page.

Voter attrition

The election showed a high degree of voter attrition each following round. Almost 30% of voters did not rank more than 3 candidates and almost exactly half stopped ranking after the 4th candidate.

Example interpretation: Only 3022 voters (50,43% of all voters) ranked more than 4 candidates.

Round	#1	#2	#3	#4	#5	#6	#7	#8	#9	#10	#11	#12
# of voters	5993	5186	4746	4262	3022	2607	2271	2060	1929	1824	1746	1663
% of #1 round	100,00%	86,53%	79,19%	71,12%	50,43%	43,50%	37,89%	34,37%	32,19%	30,44%	29,13%	27,75%

"1 candidate only" votes

In total, 807 voters chose to vote for only one candidate. It represents 13,47% of all votes cast.

Example interpretation: 89 voters only ranked Farah on their ballot.

"Own votes" vs "transferred votes"

Four of the winning candidates are divided in two groups by how they obtained their victories. While all four of them remained on the lead from the 1st round, the vote mix composition of Christel and Maciej differs from that of Victoria and Lorenzo. The below graph shows the mix compositions for the TOP 6 candidates (either from their winning round or from their last round in the process).

Example interpretation: 51.70% of Victoria's vote mix were the votes casted firstly for her. 48,30% of her votes were transferred to her when other candidates dropped out.

Votes by preference number

The below table shows how many voters ranked each candidate on #n preference. Gold, Silver and Bronze respectively show #1, #2 and #3 candidate of each category. Numbers in italics indicate the TOP 4 available seats.

Example interpretation: 246 voters placed Lane as their 5th preferred candidate. TOP 1 candidate on the 5th spot was Lorenzo, with 318 voters placing him there.

Name / # preference	#1	#2	#3	#4	#5	#6	#7	#8	#9	#10	#11	#12
Bobby	478	370	325	356	263	227	194	182	215	144	110	82
Christel^[1]	900	640	476	398	279	236	204	159	121	104	110	83
Deon	201	226	222	247	195	196	220	220	192	175	187	212
Erik	241	335	344	289	255	209	193	180	181	181	184	187
Farah	510	312	386	327	257	218	164	176	128	157	154	172
Lane	510	479	452	434	246	228	184	146	139	129	120	144
Lorenzo^[1]	611	479	453	453	318	241	190	159	140	119	128	99
Maciej^[1]	808	439	404	337	276	229	194	182	160	133	115	90
Mohammed	220	312	265	230	177	190	197	175	212	221	221	177
Rosie	502	604	562	442	300	241	170	168	135	129	98	90
Tesleemah	395	367	313	272	211	175	189	169	192	214	212	163
Victoria^[1]	617	623	544	477	245	217	172	144	114	118	107	164

How the votes were transferred from #1 to #2 choices?

The below table shows how did the #1 preference votes (left, vertical) transfer to #2 preference (top, horizontal).

Example interpretation: 100 voters who put Christel as their #1 preference, put Maciej as their #2 preference OR 125 voters who put Maciej as their #1 preference, put Christel as their #2 preference.

	Bobby	Christel^[1]	Deon	Erik	Farah	Lane	Lorenzo^[1]	Maciej^[1]	Mohammed	Rosie	Tesleemah	Victoria^[1]
Bobby		83	28	30	51	45	32	27	39	33	39	37
Christel^[1]	45		28	84	49	57	89	100	15	149	51	112
Deon	8	27		26	8	15	41	21	6	10	8	12
Erik	18	41	17		7	38	25	17	6	18	11	26
Farah	63	40	14	11		30	18	33	80	34	64	34
Lane	34	54	11	32	26		53	72	15	88	19	56
Lorenzo^[1]	25	58	33	39	27	51		58	10	57	13	94
Maciej^[1]	39	125	34	33	43	83	74		18	72	28	85
Mohammed	31	4	7	12	26	14	6	5		10	76	14
Rosie	32	75	12	26	11	71	60	33	10		22	114
Tesleemah	41	39	4	11	34	16	16	13	94	29		39
Victoria^[1]	34	94	38	31	30	59	65	60	19	104	36

The following Chord diagram visualizes the same data as the table above.

The bar represents the relative size of #1 preference support (that is: Christel 779 votes, Maciej 634 votes etc)^[2]. The width of the transfer arch means the relative amount of votes transferred. The colour of the arch means which of the pair is dominant: as Maciej transferred more votes to Christel than Christel did to Maciej, his colour is used.

Disclaimer

The above text was created by me and is no official statement of any of the Wikimedia organisations or Movement committees.

Notes

↑ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l Elected
↑ The diagram does not show "discarded" votes, when only one candidate was ranked

[:0-1] ↑ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l Elected

[2] The diagram does not show "discarded" votes, when only one candidate was ranked

[1]

[2]